文澜学术系列讲座 第281期 清华大学 张娟 博士后:“Labor Market Effects of the Rules of Origin in the U.S.”

发布者:陈丹妮发布时间:2025-04-11浏览次数:10

主题|TopicLabor Market Effects of the Rules of Origin in the U.S.

时间|Time:4.17(周四)下午14: 30-15: 30

地点|Venue:文澴楼教室|Room 815,WENHUAN

主办单位|Organizer文澜学院

承办单位|Operator数实融合研究中心北京大学-中南财经政法大学新结构经济学研究中心

主讲|Speaker

张娟,清华大学经济管理学院博士后,2023年获清华大学经济学博士学位。主要研究领域为国际贸易理论与政策、国际规则的制定与全球经济治理、关税冲击与企业行为。目前求职论文在国际知名期刊Journal of International Economics返修。

摘要|Abstract

We examine the impact of the rules of origin (RoO) on U.S. manufacturing employment. Exploiting cross-market variations in the RoO exposure from the NAFTA, we find that U.S. commuting zones more exposed to the RoO experience significant increases in the manufacturing employment share of the working-age population over a decade. The decline in U.S. imports caused by the RoO contributes to the increase in the manufacturing employment share. The RoO led to significant job creation in the Rust Belt region, in the automobile industry, for white-collar workers, males, and the younger generation.